Uncertainty Wednesday: A New Series

Uncertainty Wednesday: Reality, Explanations, Observations Uncertainty Wednesday: Limits on Observations Uncertainty Wednesday: Limits on Observations (Resolution) Uncertainty Wednesday: Limits on Observations (Measurement Error) Uncertainty Wednesday: Limits on Observations (Cost) Uncertainty Wednesday: Limits to Observations (Impact) Uncertainty Wednesday: Explanations Uncertainty Wednesday: Limits on Explanations Uncertainty Wednesday: Limits on Explanations (Turing and Gödel) Uncertainty Wednesday: What About Reality? Uncertainty Wednesday: Our First Example (Zoltar) Uncertainty Wednesday: Zoltar Example (Continued) Uncertainty Wednesday: Zoltar Example (Part 3) Uncertainty Wednesday: Zoltar Example (Part 4) Uncertainty Wednesday: Coin Flipping (Example) Uncertainty Wednesday: States and Signals Uncertainty Wednesday: Probability Uncertainty Wednesday: Probability (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Probability (Part 3) Uncertainty Wednesday: Two Week Hiatus Uncertainty Wednesday: PSA Test Example Uncertainty Wednesday: PSA Test Example (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: PSA Test Example (Part 3) Uncertainty Wednesday: PSA Test Example (Part 4) Uncertainty Wednesday: Sensitivity and Specificity Uncertainty Wednesday: Sensitivity and Specificity (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Recap Uncertainty Wednesday: Independence Uncertainty Wednesday: Independence (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Independence (Coin Flipping) Uncertainty Wednesday: Intro to Measuring Uncertainty Uncertainty Wednesday: Probability Distribution Uncertainty Wednesday: Entropy Uncertainty Wednesday: Entropy (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Entropy and Communication Uncertainty Wednesday: Random Variables Uncertainty Wednesday: Expected Value Uncertainty Wednesday: Variance Uncertainty Wednesday: Continuous Random Variables Uncertainty Wednesday: Continuous Random Variables (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Functions of Random Variables Uncertainty Wednesday: Jensen’s Inequality Uncertainty Wednesday: Risk Aversion (Jensen’s Inequality Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Risk Seeking (Jensen’s Inequality Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Weather (Intro) Uncertainty Wednesday: Weather - Climate Uncertainty Wednesday: Sample Mean Uncertainty Wednesday: Sample Mean (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Sample Mean (Part 3) Uncertainty Wednesday: A Random Variable without Expected Value Uncertainty Wednesday: Fat Tails Uncertainty Wednesday: Interlude (Random Variable vs Distribution) Uncertainty Wednesday: Sample Mean under Fat Tails Uncertainty Wednesday: Sample Mean under Fat Tails (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Recap on Sample Behavior (Inference) Uncertainty Wednesday: Suppressed Volatility Uncertainty Wednesday: Suppressed Volatility (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Sample Variance Uncertainty Wednesday: Sample Variance (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Spurious Correlation (Intro) Uncertainty Wednesday: Spurious Correlation (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Spurious Correlation (Part 3) Uncertainty Wednesday: Correlation the Bayesian Way Uncertainty Wednesday: Interlude Uncertainty Wednesday: The Problem with P-Values (Intro) Uncertainty Wednesday: The Problem with P-Values (Incentives) Uncertainty Wednesday: The Problem with P-Values (Generating Hypotheses) Uncertainty Wednesday: The Problem with P-Values (Learning) Uncertainty Wednesday: Beliefs Uncertainty Wednesday: Beliefs (Cont’d) Uncertainty Wednesday: Beliefs (Part 3) Uncertainty Wednesday: Updating (Intro)